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Exercise 10 — Later-no-harm: the generous ballots

▶ Live on BetterVoting: vote · results ↗ (election yyhj9x · test BV2196) — an independent tabulator to check the winners below against.

Bucket — IRV_OUTLIER_RR_WITH_STAR: RCV-IRV is the outlier (center squeeze)

Generated by STARVote_LH_tabulation_engine/tools_adam/scripts/build_divergence_index.py — rebuilt from the election file; do not hand-edit.

What happens

STAR elects Bess — and so do Ranked Robin and Condorcet, because Bess is the head-to-head (pairwise) winner, beating every rival one-on-one. RCV-IRV instead elects Amir: Bess collects fewer top (first-choice) votes, so IRV eliminates Bess early, and those ballots transfer to Amir. This is the classic center squeeze — the broadly acceptable candidate is knocked out by round-by-round elimination even though a majority prefers them in a direct matchup. Two methods (STAR + RR) against one (RCV-IRV): IRV is the outlier.

Winners by method

Method Winner
STAR Bess
RCV-IRV Amir
Ranked Robin (RCV-RR) Bess
Approval Bess
Range / Score Bess
Condorcet Bess

Flags: none

Source election: 01_STAR/05_Practice/cases/ex10_generous.yaml · STAR tabulated mirror: ex10_generous_tabulated.txt

3 candidates, 9 ballots.

The ballots

Each row is a group of identical score ballots (0 = no support, 5 = max).

Count Amir Bess Cato
4 5 3 0
2 2 5 0
3 0 1 5

STAR result (official)

Scoring round (sum of scores): Bess 25, Amir 24, Cato 15

Finalists (top two): Bess and Amir

Automatic runoff: Bess 5 vs Amir 4

STAR winner: Bess

Full LH STAR engine report:

--- Runoff (Preference) Matrix ---
Head-to-head / pairwise comparison
Legend: For - Equal Support - Against
        * indicates Top 2 Finalist
               |   * Amir   |  * Bess   |
-----------------------------------------
      * Amir > |    ---     |4 - 0 - 5  |
      * Bess > | 5 - 0 - 4  |   ---     |

[Divergence from STAR]
  STAR                   = Bess
  Choose-One (Plurality) = Amir   (differs from STAR)
  RCV-IRV                = Amir   (differs from STAR)
  Note: no ballots had tied scores, so RCV-IRV vs STAR here is a genuine
        method difference, not a tie-breaking artifact.
  Note: Ranked Robin (RCV-RR) agrees with STAR, so RCV-IRV is the lone
        outlier — the classic center-squeeze signature.

--- STAR Voting Method (single winner) ---
 Tabulating 9 ballots.
Count × Amir,Bess,Cato
    4 ×    5,   3,   0
    3 ×    0,   1,   5
    2 ×    2,   5,   0

[Score Distribution] (how many ballots gave each star rating)
                Score
Candidate  5  4  3  2  1  0  | Total   Avg
Amir       4  0  0  2  0  3  |    24   2.7
Bess       2  0  4  0  3  0  |    25   2.8
Cato       3  0  0  0  0  6  |    15   1.7

Scoring Round
 The two highest-scoring candidates advance to the next round.
   Bess          -- 25 -- First place
   Amir          -- 24 -- Second place
   Cato          -- 15
 Bess and Amir advance.

Automatic Runoff Round
 The candidate preferred in the most head-to-head matchups wins.
   Bess          -- 5 -- First place
   Amir          -- 4
   Equal Support -- 0
 Bess wins.
   Voters with a preference: 9 of 9 (no Equal Support).
   Bess 5 (56%) vs Amir 4 (44%); majority = 5.

Winner — STAR Voting Method (single winner)
 Bess

RCV-IRV — round by round

--- RCV / Instant-Runoff Voting (single winner) ---
 Tabulating 9 ballots (converted from score ballots; 0 = unranked, equal scores broken by candidate priority).

Ballots:
   the ranking RCV-IRV reads (0 = unranked, equal scores broken by priority);
   the source score ballot follows in () per column: Amir, Bess, Cato
     4 ×   Amir > Bess      (5, 3, 0)
     2 ×   Bess > Amir      (2, 5, 0)
     3 ×   Cato > Bess      (0, 1, 5)

ROUND 1
Candidate      Votes  Status
-----------  -------  --------
Amir               4  Hopeful
Cato               3  Hopeful
Bess               2  Rejected

FINAL RESULT
Candidate      Votes  Status
-----------  -------  --------
Amir               6  Elected
Cato               3  Rejected
Bess               0  Rejected


Winner(s) — RCV / Instant-Runoff Voting (single winner)
  Amir

--- Smith Set (the generalized Condorcet winner) ---
The smallest group whose every member beats every candidate outside it —
the honest answer to "who is even in contention?".
   Smith set (1 of 3): Bess
   Outside (2):        Amir, Cato
   One member ⇒ Bess is the Condorcet winner, beating every rival head-to-head.
   RCV-IRV winner Amir is OUTSIDE the Smith set. ✗
      Every member of the set (Bess) beats Amir head-to-head, yet
      RCV-IRV elected Amir anyway. RCV-IRV is not Smith-efficient (nor
      Condorcet-efficient) — this is the shape a center squeeze leaves behind.
   More: 07_Concepts/topics/smith_set.md

NOTE: a generated cross-method view of the STAR ballots, for comparison only — not the official STAR result.

Ranked Robin (RCV-RR) — every pair, head-to-head

--- Ranked Robin (RCV-RR / Copeland) Method (single winner) ---
 Tabulating 9 ballots (score ballots).

Ballots:
   the ranking Ranked Robin reads ("=" = tied); source scores follow in () per column: Amir, Bess, Cato
     4 × Amir > Bess > Cato      (5, 3, 0)
     2 × Bess > Amir > Cato      (2, 5, 0)
     3 × Cato > Bess > Amir      (0, 1, 5)

Round-Robin — every pair, head-to-head (For – Against):
   Bess  beats Amir   5 – 4
   Amir  beats Cato   6 – 3
   Bess  beats Cato   6 – 3

--- Pairwise (Round-Robin) Matrix ---
Head-to-head / pairwise comparison — the Ranked Robin tally
Legend: For - Equal Support - Against   (row vs column)
         |   Amir    |  Bess    |  Cato    |
--------------------------------------------
  Amir > |    ---    |4 - 0 - 5 |6 - 0 - 3 |
  Bess > | 5 - 0 - 4 |   ---    |6 - 0 - 3 |
  Cato > | 3 - 0 - 6 |3 - 0 - 6 |   ---    |

Win–loss record — Copeland score = wins + ½·ties (highest score wins; ties broken by total margin, then lot order):
    #  Candidate  W–L–T  Copeland  Margin  Beats
    1  Bess       2–0–0         2      +4  Amir, Cato
    2  Amir       1–1–0         1      +2  Cato
    3  Cato       0–2–0         0      -6  —

Winner — Ranked Robin (RCV-RR): Bess
   beats every opponent head-to-head — the Condorcet winner.

--- Smith Set (the generalized Condorcet winner) ---
The smallest group whose every member beats every candidate outside it —
the honest answer to "who is even in contention?".
   Smith set (1 of 3): Bess
   Outside (2):        Amir, Cato
   One member ⇒ Bess is the Condorcet winner, beating every rival head-to-head.
   Ranked Robin (RCV-RR) winner Bess is INSIDE the Smith set. ✓
      Guaranteed: Ranked Robin (Copeland) is Smith-efficient — every member of
      the set outscores every outsider, so the top of the win–loss table is
      always inside the set, however the tie among them is then broken.
   More: 07_Concepts/topics/smith_set.md