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Exercise 3 — One electorate, five verdicts (the snack vote)

▶ Live on BetterVoting: vote · results ↗ (election ywqhq4 · test BV2191) — an independent tabulator to check the winners below against.

Bucket — IRV_OUTLIER_RR_WITH_STAR: RCV-IRV is the outlier (center squeeze)

Generated by STARVote_LH_tabulation_engine/tools_adam/scripts/build_divergence_index.py — rebuilt from the election file; do not hand-edit.

What happens

STAR elects Cherry — and so do Ranked Robin and Condorcet, because Cherry is the head-to-head (pairwise) winner, beating every rival one-on-one. RCV-IRV instead elects Banana: Cherry collects fewer top (first-choice) votes, so IRV eliminates Cherry early, and those ballots transfer to Banana. This is the classic center squeeze — the broadly acceptable candidate is knocked out by round-by-round elimination even though a majority prefers them in a direct matchup. Two methods (STAR + RR) against one (RCV-IRV): IRV is the outlier.

Winners by method

Method Winner
STAR Cherry
RCV-IRV Banana
Ranked Robin (RCV-RR) Cherry
Approval Cherry
Range / Score Cherry
Condorcet Cherry

Flags: none

Source election: 01_STAR/05_Practice/cases/ex03_five_verdicts.yaml · STAR tabulated mirror: ex03_five_verdicts_tabulated.txt

3 candidates, 9 ballots.

The ballots

Each row is a group of identical score ballots (0 = no support, 5 = max).

Count Apple Banana Cherry
4 5 0 3
3 0 5 4
2 0 1 5

STAR result (official)

Scoring round (sum of scores): Cherry 34, Apple 20, Banana 17

Finalists (top two): Cherry and Apple

Automatic runoff: Cherry 5 vs Apple 4

STAR winner: Cherry

Full LH STAR engine report:

--- Runoff (Preference) Matrix ---
Head-to-head / pairwise comparison
Legend: For - Equal Support - Against
        * indicates Top 2 Finalist
               |  * Apple   | * Cherry  |
-----------------------------------------
     * Apple > |    ---     |4 - 0 - 5  |
    * Cherry > | 5 - 0 - 4  |   ---     |

[Divergence from STAR]
  STAR                   = Cherry
  Choose-One (Plurality) = Apple   (differs from STAR)
  RCV-IRV                = Banana   (differs from STAR)
  Note: no ballots had tied scores, so RCV-IRV vs STAR here is a genuine
        method difference, not a tie-breaking artifact.
  Note: Ranked Robin (RCV-RR) agrees with STAR, so RCV-IRV is the lone
        outlier — the classic center-squeeze signature.

--- STAR Voting Method (single winner) ---
 Tabulating 9 ballots.
Count × Apple,Banana,Cherry
    4 ×     5,     0,     3
    3 ×     0,     5,     4
    2 ×     0,     1,     5

[Score Distribution] (how many ballots gave each star rating)
                Score
Candidate  5  4  3  2  1  0  | Total   Avg
Apple      4  0  0  0  0  5  |    20   2.2
Banana     3  0  0  0  2  4  |    17   1.9
Cherry     2  3  4  0  0  0  |    34   3.8

Scoring Round
 The two highest-scoring candidates advance to the next round.
   Cherry        -- 34 -- First place
   Apple         -- 20 -- Second place
   Banana        -- 17
 Cherry and Apple advance.

Automatic Runoff Round
 The candidate preferred in the most head-to-head matchups wins.
   Cherry        -- 5 -- First place
   Apple         -- 4
   Equal Support -- 0
 Cherry wins.
   Voters with a preference: 9 of 9 (no Equal Support).
   Cherry 5 (56%) vs Apple 4 (44%); majority = 5.

Winner — STAR Voting Method (single winner)
 Cherry

RCV-IRV — round by round

--- RCV / Instant-Runoff Voting (single winner) ---
 Tabulating 9 ballots (converted from score ballots; 0 = unranked, equal scores broken by candidate priority).

Ballots:
   the ranking RCV-IRV reads (0 = unranked, equal scores broken by priority);
   the source score ballot follows in () per column: Apple, Banana, Cherry
     4 ×   Apple > Cherry      (5, 0, 3)
     3 ×   Banana > Cherry      (0, 5, 4)
     2 ×   Cherry > Banana      (0, 1, 5)

ROUND 1
Candidate      Votes  Status
-----------  -------  --------
Apple              4  Hopeful
Banana             3  Hopeful
Cherry             2  Rejected

FINAL RESULT
Candidate      Votes  Status
-----------  -------  --------
Banana             5  Elected
Apple              4  Rejected
Cherry             0  Rejected


Winner(s) — RCV / Instant-Runoff Voting (single winner)
  Banana

--- Smith Set (the generalized Condorcet winner) ---
The smallest group whose every member beats every candidate outside it —
the honest answer to "who is even in contention?".
   Smith set (1 of 3): Cherry
   Outside (2):        Apple, Banana
   One member ⇒ Cherry is the Condorcet winner, beating every rival head-to-head.
   RCV-IRV winner Banana is OUTSIDE the Smith set. ✗
      Every member of the set (Cherry) beats Banana head-to-head, yet
      RCV-IRV elected Banana anyway. RCV-IRV is not Smith-efficient (nor
      Condorcet-efficient) — this is the shape a center squeeze leaves behind.
   More: 07_Concepts/topics/smith_set.md

NOTE: a generated cross-method view of the STAR ballots, for comparison only — not the official STAR result.

Ranked Robin (RCV-RR) — every pair, head-to-head

--- Ranked Robin (RCV-RR / Copeland) Method (single winner) ---
 Tabulating 9 ballots (score ballots).

Ballots:
   the ranking Ranked Robin reads ("=" = tied); source scores follow in () per column: Apple, Banana, Cherry
     4 × Apple > Cherry > Banana      (5, 0, 3)
     3 × Banana > Cherry > Apple      (0, 5, 4)
     2 × Cherry > Banana > Apple      (0, 1, 5)

Round-Robin — every pair, head-to-head (For – Against):
   Banana  beats Apple    5 – 4
   Cherry  beats Apple    5 – 4
   Cherry  beats Banana   6 – 3

--- Pairwise (Round-Robin) Matrix ---
Head-to-head / pairwise comparison — the Ranked Robin tally
Legend: For - Equal Support - Against   (row vs column)
           |   Apple   | Banana   | Cherry   |
----------------------------------------------
   Apple > |    ---    |4 - 0 - 5 |4 - 0 - 5 |
  Banana > | 5 - 0 - 4 |   ---    |3 - 0 - 6 |
  Cherry > | 5 - 0 - 4 |6 - 0 - 3 |   ---    |

Win–loss record — Copeland score = wins + ½·ties (highest score wins; ties broken by total margin, then lot order):
    #  Candidate  W–L–T  Copeland  Margin  Beats
    1  Cherry     2–0–0         2      +4  Banana, Apple
    2  Banana     1–1–0         1      -2  Apple
    3  Apple      0–2–0         0      -2  —

Winner — Ranked Robin (RCV-RR): Cherry
   beats every opponent head-to-head — the Condorcet winner.

--- Smith Set (the generalized Condorcet winner) ---
The smallest group whose every member beats every candidate outside it —
the honest answer to "who is even in contention?".
   Smith set (1 of 3): Cherry
   Outside (2):        Apple, Banana
   One member ⇒ Cherry is the Condorcet winner, beating every rival head-to-head.
   Ranked Robin (RCV-RR) winner Cherry is INSIDE the Smith set. ✓
      Guaranteed: Ranked Robin (Copeland) is Smith-efficient — every member of
      the set outscores every outsider, so the top of the win–loss table is
      always inside the set, however the tie among them is then broken.
   More: 07_Concepts/topics/smith_set.md