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Tactical maximization in STAR (1 of 2) — honest ballots: the hedgers' preference decides the runoff

Bucket — APPROVAL_OR_MINOR: Only Approval differs

Generated by STARVote_LH_tabulation_engine/tools_adam/scripts/build_divergence_index.py — rebuilt from the election file; do not hand-edit.

What happens

STAR, RCV-IRV and Ranked Robin all agree on Alma. Only Approval differs, electing Bruno: Approval counts every score of 3–5 as one equal 'approve' and ignores intensity, rewarding Bruno's breadth of acceptability over Alma's stronger but more concentrated support. A threshold story about Approval, not a STAR-vs-IRV teaching case.

Winners by method

Method Winner
STAR Alma
RCV-IRV Alma
Ranked Robin (RCV-RR) Alma
Approval Bruno
Range / Score Bruno
Condorcet Alma

Flags: none

Source election: 01_STAR/03_Criteria/tactical_maximization/cases/tactical_max_c3_b9_honest.yaml · STAR tabulated mirror: tactical_max_c3_b9_honest_tabulated.txt

3 candidates, 9 ballots.

The ballots

Each row is a group of identical score ballots (0 = no support, 5 = max).

Count Alma Bruno Celia
4 5 3 0
1 4 2 1
3 1 5 3
1 0 2 5

STAR result (official)

Scoring round (sum of scores): Bruno 31, Alma 27, Celia 15

Finalists (top two): Bruno and Alma

Automatic runoff: Bruno 4 vs Alma 5

STAR winner: Alma

Full LH STAR engine report:

--- Runoff (Preference) Matrix ---
Head-to-head / pairwise comparison
Legend: For - Equal Support - Against
        * indicates Top 2 Finalist
               |   * Alma   | * Bruno   |
-----------------------------------------
      * Alma > |    ---     |5 - 0 - 4  |
     * Bruno > | 4 - 0 - 5  |   ---     |

[Divergence from STAR]
  STAR     = Alma
  Approval = Bruno   (differs from STAR)

[Runoff Reversal]
 - Score Round Winner(s) = (Bruno)
 - Runoff Round Winner   = (Alma)
  Candidate Bruno earned the highest total score, but
  Candidate Alma won the automatic runoff — not a malfunction,
  STAR working as designed: the runoff elects the finalist preferred
  by the majority (of voters with a preference).


--- STAR Voting Method (single winner) ---
 Tabulating 9 ballots.
Count × Alma,Bruno,Celia
    4 ×    5,    3,    0
    3 ×    1,    5,    3
    1 ×    4,    2,    1
    1 ×    0,    2,    5

[Score Distribution] (how many ballots gave each star rating)
                Score
Candidate  5  4  3  2  1  0  | Total   Avg
Alma       4  1  0  0  3  1  |    27   3.0
Bruno      3  0  4  2  0  0  |    31   3.4
Celia      1  0  3  0  1  4  |    15   1.7

Scoring Round
 The two highest-scoring candidates advance to the next round.
   Bruno         -- 31 -- First place
   Alma          -- 27 -- Second place
   Celia         -- 15
 Bruno and Alma advance.

Automatic Runoff Round
 The candidate preferred in the most head-to-head matchups wins.
   Alma          -- 5 -- First place
   Bruno         -- 4
   Equal Support -- 0
 Alma wins.
   Voters with a preference: 9 of 9 (no Equal Support).
   Alma 5 (56%) vs Bruno 4 (44%); majority = 5.

Winner — STAR Voting Method (single winner)
 Alma

RCV-IRV — round by round

--- RCV / Instant-Runoff Voting (single winner) ---
 Tabulating 9 ballots (converted from score ballots; 0 = unranked, equal scores broken by candidate priority).

Ballots:
   the ranking RCV-IRV reads (0 = unranked, equal scores broken by priority);
   the source score ballot follows in () per column: Alma, Bruno, Celia
     4 ×   Alma > Bruno      (5, 3, 0)
     1 ×   Alma > Bruno > Celia      (4, 2, 1)
     3 ×   Bruno > Celia > Alma      (1, 5, 3)
     1 ×   Celia > Bruno      (0, 2, 5)

FINAL RESULT
Candidate      Votes  Status
-----------  -------  --------
Alma               5  Elected
Bruno              3  Rejected
Celia              1  Rejected


Winner(s) — RCV / Instant-Runoff Voting (single winner)
  Alma

--- Smith Set (the generalized Condorcet winner) ---
The smallest group whose every member beats every candidate outside it —
the honest answer to "who is even in contention?".
   Smith set (1 of 3): Alma
   Outside (2):        Bruno, Celia
   One member ⇒ Alma is the Condorcet winner, beating every rival head-to-head.
   RCV-IRV winner Alma is INSIDE the Smith set. ✓
      Not guaranteed — RCV-IRV is not Smith-efficient — but it holds here.
   More: 07_Concepts/topics/smith_set.md

NOTE: a generated cross-method view of the STAR ballots, for comparison only — not the official STAR result.

Ranked Robin (RCV-RR) — every pair, head-to-head

--- Ranked Robin (RCV-RR / Copeland) Method (single winner) ---
 Tabulating 9 ballots (score ballots).

Ballots:
   the ranking Ranked Robin reads ("=" = tied); source scores follow in () per column: Alma, Bruno, Celia
     4 × Alma > Bruno > Celia      (5, 3, 0)
     1 × Alma > Bruno > Celia      (4, 2, 1)
     3 × Bruno > Celia > Alma      (1, 5, 3)
     1 × Celia > Bruno > Alma      (0, 2, 5)

Round-Robin — every pair, head-to-head (For – Against):
   Alma   beats Bruno   5 – 4
   Alma   beats Celia   5 – 4
   Bruno  beats Celia   8 – 1

--- Pairwise (Round-Robin) Matrix ---
Head-to-head / pairwise comparison — the Ranked Robin tally
Legend: For - Equal Support - Against   (row vs column)
          |   Alma    |  Bruno   |  Celia   |
---------------------------------------------
   Alma > |    ---    |5 - 0 - 4 |5 - 0 - 4 |
  Bruno > | 4 - 0 - 5 |   ---    |8 - 0 - 1 |
  Celia > | 4 - 0 - 5 |1 - 0 - 8 |   ---    |

Win–loss record — Copeland score = wins + ½·ties (highest score wins; ties broken by total margin, then lot order):
    #  Candidate  W–L–T  Copeland  Margin  Beats
    1  Alma       2–0–0         2      +2  Bruno, Celia
    2  Bruno      1–1–0         1      +6  Celia
    3  Celia      0–2–0         0      -8  —

Winner — Ranked Robin (RCV-RR): Alma
   beats every opponent head-to-head — the Condorcet winner.

--- Smith Set (the generalized Condorcet winner) ---
The smallest group whose every member beats every candidate outside it —
the honest answer to "who is even in contention?".
   Smith set (1 of 3): Alma
   Outside (2):        Bruno, Celia
   One member ⇒ Alma is the Condorcet winner, beating every rival head-to-head.
   Ranked Robin (RCV-RR) winner Alma is INSIDE the Smith set. ✓
      Guaranteed: Ranked Robin (Copeland) is Smith-efficient — every member of
      the set outscores every outsider, so the top of the win–loss table is
      always inside the set, however the tie among them is then broken.
   More: 07_Concepts/topics/smith_set.md