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Brams' grading paradox — the grade leader loses the runoff

Bucket — APPROVAL_OR_MINOR: Only Approval differs

Generated by STARVote_LH_tabulation_engine/tools_adam/scripts/build_divergence_index.py — rebuilt from the election file; do not hand-edit.

What happens

STAR, RCV-IRV and Ranked Robin all agree on Baker. Only Approval differs, electing Adams: Approval counts every score of 3–5 as one equal 'approve' and ignores intensity, rewarding Adams's breadth of acceptability over Baker's stronger but more concentrated support. A threshold story about Approval, not a STAR-vs-IRV teaching case.

Winners by method

Method Winner
STAR Baker
RCV-IRV Baker
Ranked Robin (RCV-RR) Baker
Approval Adams
Range / Score Adams
Condorcet Baker

Flags: 2 tied-score ballot(s); IRV winner flips under reversed priority (fragile tie)

Source election: method_comparisons/brams_grading_paradox/cases/brams_grading_paradox_c3_b3.yaml · STAR tabulated mirror: brams_grading_paradox_c3_b3_tabulated.txt

3 candidates, 3 ballots.

The ballots

Each row is a group of identical score ballots (0 = no support, 5 = max).

Count Adams Baker Chen
1 3 0 0
1 2 3 3
1 1 2 1

STAR result (official)

Scoring round (sum of scores): Adams 6, Baker 5, Chen 4

Finalists (top two): Adams and Baker

Automatic runoff: Adams 1 vs Baker 2

STAR winner: Baker

Full LH STAR engine report:

--- Runoff (Preference) Matrix ---
Head-to-head / pairwise comparison
Legend: For - Equal Support - Against
        * indicates Top 2 Finalist
               |  * Adams   | * Baker   |
-----------------------------------------
     * Adams > |    ---     |1 - 0 - 2  |
     * Baker > | 2 - 0 - 1  |   ---     |

[Divergence from STAR]
  STAR     = Baker
  Approval = Adams   (differs from STAR)

[Runoff Reversal]
 - Score Round Winner(s) = (Adams)
 - Runoff Round Winner   = (Baker)
  Candidate Adams earned the highest total score, but
  Candidate Baker won the automatic runoff — not a malfunction,
  STAR working as designed: the runoff elects the finalist preferred
  by the majority (of voters with a preference).


--- STAR Voting Method (single winner) ---
 Tabulating 3 ballots.
Adams,Baker,Chen
    3,    0,   0
    2,    3,   3
    1,    2,   1

[Score Distribution] (how many ballots gave each star rating)
                Score
Candidate  5  4  3  2  1  0  | Total   Avg
Adams      0  0  1  1  1  0  |     6   2.0
Baker      0  0  1  1  0  1  |     5   1.7
Chen       0  0  1  0  1  1  |     4   1.3

Scoring Round
 The two highest-scoring candidates advance to the next round.
   Adams         -- 6 -- First place
   Baker         -- 5 -- Second place
   Chen          -- 4
 Adams and Baker advance.

Automatic Runoff Round
 The candidate preferred in the most head-to-head matchups wins.
   Baker         -- 2 -- First place
   Adams         -- 1
   Equal Support -- 0
 Baker wins.
   Voters with a preference: 3 of 3 (no Equal Support).
   Baker 2 (67%) vs Adams 1 (33%); majority = 2.

Winner — STAR Voting Method (single winner)
 Baker

RCV-IRV — round by round

⚠️ This election has a fragile IRV tie (equal scores force an arbitrary tie-break). The round table below is only one realization; a different tie-break can change the winner. See the flag above.

--- RCV / Instant-Runoff Voting (single winner) ---
 Tabulating 3 ballots (converted from score ballots; 0 = unranked, equal scores broken by candidate priority).

Ballots:
   the ranking RCV-IRV reads (0 = unranked, equal scores broken by priority);
   the source score ballot follows in () per column: Adams, Baker, Chen
     1 ×   Adams      (3, 0, 0)
     1 ×   Baker > Chen > Adams      (2, 3, 3)
     1 ×   Baker > Adams > Chen      (1, 2, 1)

FINAL RESULT
Candidate      Votes  Status
-----------  -------  --------
Baker              2  Elected
Adams              1  Rejected
Chen               0  Rejected


Winner(s) — RCV / Instant-Runoff Voting (single winner)
  Baker

--- Smith Set (the generalized Condorcet winner) ---
The smallest group whose every member beats every candidate outside it —
the honest answer to "who is even in contention?".
   Smith set (1 of 3): Baker
   Outside (2):        Adams, Chen
   One member ⇒ Baker is the Condorcet winner, beating every rival head-to-head.
   RCV-IRV winner Baker is INSIDE the Smith set. ✓
      Not guaranteed — RCV-IRV is not Smith-efficient — but it holds here.
   More: 07_Concepts/topics/smith_set.md

NOTE: a generated cross-method view of the STAR ballots, for comparison only — not the official STAR result.

Ranked Robin (RCV-RR) — every pair, head-to-head

--- Ranked Robin (RCV-RR / Copeland) Method (single winner) ---
 Tabulating 3 ballots (score ballots).

Ballots:
   the ranking Ranked Robin reads ("=" = tied); source scores follow in () per column: Adams, Baker, Chen
     1 × Adams > Baker=Chen      (3, 0, 0)
     1 × Baker=Chen > Adams      (2, 3, 3)
     1 × Baker > Adams=Chen      (1, 2, 1)

Round-Robin — every pair, head-to-head (For – Against):
   Baker  beats Adams   2 – 1
   Adams  ties  Chen    1 – 1
   Baker  beats Chen    1 – 0

--- Pairwise (Round-Robin) Matrix ---
Head-to-head / pairwise comparison — the Ranked Robin tally
Legend: For - Equal Support - Against   (row vs column)
          |   Adams   |  Baker   |  Chen    |
---------------------------------------------
  Adams > |    ---    |1 - 0 - 2 |1 - 1 - 1 |
  Baker > | 2 - 0 - 1 |   ---    |1 - 2 - 0 |
   Chen > | 1 - 1 - 1 |0 - 2 - 1 |   ---    |

Win–loss record — Copeland score = wins + ½·ties (highest score wins; ties broken by total margin, then lot order):
    #  Candidate  W–L–T  Copeland  Margin  Beats
    1  Baker      2–0–0         2      +2  Adams, Chen
    2  Adams      0–1–1       0.5      -1  —
    3  Chen       0–1–1       0.5      -1  —

Winner — Ranked Robin (RCV-RR): Baker
   beats every opponent head-to-head — the Condorcet winner.

--- Smith Set (the generalized Condorcet winner) ---
The smallest group whose every member beats every candidate outside it —
the honest answer to "who is even in contention?".
   Smith set (1 of 3): Baker
   Outside (2):        Adams, Chen
   One member ⇒ Baker is the Condorcet winner, beating every rival head-to-head.
   Ranked Robin (RCV-RR) winner Baker is INSIDE the Smith set. ✓
      Guaranteed: Ranked Robin (Copeland) is Smith-efficient — every member of
      the set outscores every outsider, so the top of the win–loss table is
      always inside the set, however the tie among them is then broken.
   More: 07_Concepts/topics/smith_set.md