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Preference vs Support — the center TOLERATED (wings score Blair 1)

▶ Live on BetterVoting: vote · results ↗ (election ywx39y · test BV2225) — an independent tabulator to check the winners below against.

Bucket — CYCLE_OR_THREE_WAY: Cycle / three-way split

Generated by STARVote_LH_tabulation_engine/tools_adam/scripts/build_divergence_index.py — rebuilt from the election file; do not hand-edit.

What happens

The methods split: STAR=Alex, RCV-IRV=Alex, Ranked Robin=Blair; the Condorcet (pairwise) winner is Blair. A genuinely hard, divided electorate — useful for showing that the choice of method matters most exactly when voters are split.

Winners by method

Method Winner
STAR Alex
RCV-IRV Alex
Ranked Robin (RCV-RR) Blair
Approval Alex
Range / Score Alex
Condorcet Blair

Flags: none

Source election: method_comparisons/preference_vs_support/cases/bv2225_ywx39y_center_tolerated.yaml · STAR tabulated mirror: bv2225_ywx39y_center_tolerated_tabulated.txt

3 candidates, 36 ballots.

The ballots

Each row is a group of identical score ballots (0 = no support, 5 = max).

Count Alex Blair Cole
15 5 1 0
6 1 5 0
15 0 1 5

STAR result (official)

Scoring round (sum of scores): Alex 81, Cole 75, Blair 60

Finalists (top two): Alex and Cole

Automatic runoff: Alex 21 vs Cole 15

STAR winner: Alex

Full LH STAR engine report:

--- Runoff (Preference) Matrix ---
Head-to-head / pairwise comparison
Legend: For - Equal Support - Against
        * indicates Top 2 Finalist
                 |    * Alex    |   * Cole    |
-----------------------------------------------
        * Alex > |     ---      |21 -  0 - 15 |
        * Cole > | 15 -  0 - 21 |    ---      |

[Divergence from STAR]
  STAR               = Alex
  RCV-RR (Condorcet) = Blair   (differs from STAR)

--- STAR Voting Method (single winner) ---
 Tabulating 36 ballots.
Count × Alex,Blair,Cole
   15 ×    5,    1,   0
   15 ×    0,    1,   5
    6 ×    1,    5,   0

[Score Distribution] (how many ballots gave each star rating)
                   Score
Candidate   5   4   3   2   1   0  | Total   Avg
Alex       15   0   0   0   6  15  |    81   2.3
Blair       6   0   0   0  30   0  |    60   1.7
Cole       15   0   0   0   0  21  |    75   2.1

Scoring Round
 The two highest-scoring candidates advance to the next round.
   Alex          -- 81 -- First place
   Cole          -- 75 -- Second place
   Blair         -- 60
 Alex and Cole advance.

Automatic Runoff Round
 The candidate preferred in the most head-to-head matchups wins.
   Alex          -- 21 -- First place
   Cole          -- 15
   Equal Support --  0
 Alex wins.
   Voters with a preference: 36 of 36 (no Equal Support).
   Alex 21 (58%) vs Cole 15 (42%); majority = 19.

Winner — STAR Voting Method (single winner)
 Alex

RCV-IRV — round by round

--- RCV / Instant-Runoff Voting (single winner) ---
 Tabulating 36 ballots (converted from score ballots; 0 = unranked, equal scores broken by candidate priority).

Ballots:
   the ranking RCV-IRV reads (0 = unranked, equal scores broken by priority);
   the source score ballot follows in () per column: Alex, Blair, Cole
    15 ×   Alex > Blair      (5, 1, 0)
     6 ×   Blair > Alex      (1, 5, 0)
    15 ×   Cole > Blair      (0, 1, 5)

ROUND 1
Candidate      Votes  Status
-----------  -------  --------
Alex              15  Hopeful
Cole              15  Hopeful
Blair              6  Rejected

FINAL RESULT
Candidate      Votes  Status
-----------  -------  --------
Alex              21  Elected
Cole              15  Rejected
Blair              0  Rejected


Winner(s) — RCV / Instant-Runoff Voting (single winner)
  Alex

--- Smith Set (the generalized Condorcet winner) ---
The smallest group whose every member beats every candidate outside it —
the honest answer to "who is even in contention?".
   Smith set (1 of 3): Blair
   Outside (2):        Alex, Cole
   One member ⇒ Blair is the Condorcet winner, beating every rival head-to-head.
   RCV-IRV winner Alex is OUTSIDE the Smith set. ✗
      Every member of the set (Blair) beats Alex head-to-head, yet
      RCV-IRV elected Alex anyway. RCV-IRV is not Smith-efficient (nor
      Condorcet-efficient) — this is the shape a center squeeze leaves behind.
   More: 07_Concepts/topics/smith_set.md

NOTE: a generated cross-method view of the STAR ballots, for comparison only — not the official STAR result.

Ranked Robin (RCV-RR) — every pair, head-to-head

--- Ranked Robin (RCV-RR / Copeland) Method (single winner) ---
 Tabulating 36 ballots (score ballots).

Ballots:
   the ranking Ranked Robin reads ("=" = tied); source scores follow in () per column: Alex, Blair, Cole
    15 × Alex > Blair > Cole      (5, 1, 0)
     6 × Blair > Alex > Cole      (1, 5, 0)
    15 × Cole > Blair > Alex      (0, 1, 5)

Round-Robin — every pair, head-to-head (For – Against):
   Blair  beats Alex    21 – 15
   Alex   beats Cole    21 – 15
   Blair  beats Cole    21 – 15

--- Pairwise (Round-Robin) Matrix ---
Head-to-head / pairwise comparison — the Ranked Robin tally
Legend: For - Equal Support - Against   (row vs column)
          |     Alex     |   Blair     |    Cole     |
------------------------------------------------------
   Alex > |     ---      |15 -  0 - 21 |21 -  0 - 15 |
  Blair > | 21 -  0 - 15 |    ---      |21 -  0 - 15 |
   Cole > | 15 -  0 - 21 |15 -  0 - 21 |    ---      |

Win–loss record — Copeland score = wins + ½·ties (highest score wins; ties broken by total margin, then lot order):
    #  Candidate  W–L–T  Copeland  Margin  Beats
    1  Blair      2–0–0         2     +12  Alex, Cole
    2  Alex       1–1–0         1      +0  Cole
    3  Cole       0–2–0         0     -12  —

Winner — Ranked Robin (RCV-RR): Blair
   beats every opponent head-to-head — the Condorcet winner.

--- Smith Set (the generalized Condorcet winner) ---
The smallest group whose every member beats every candidate outside it —
the honest answer to "who is even in contention?".
   Smith set (1 of 3): Blair
   Outside (2):        Alex, Cole
   One member ⇒ Blair is the Condorcet winner, beating every rival head-to-head.
   Ranked Robin (RCV-RR) winner Blair is INSIDE the Smith set. ✓
      Guaranteed: Ranked Robin (Copeland) is Smith-efficient — every member of
      the set outscores every outsider, so the top of the win–loss table is
      always inside the set, however the tie among them is then broken.
   More: 07_Concepts/topics/smith_set.md