Skip to content

Vote splitting — two chocolates split the majority

Generated from vote_splitting.yaml — do not edit by hand. Regenerate: python STARVote_LH_tabulation_engine/tools_adam/scripts/build_yaml_pages.py.

Method: STAR (single winner) · 1 seat · Expected winner: DarkChoco

Scenario

Election: pick ONE dessert for the party. 36 voters.

Twenty-two of the thirty-six are chocolate lovers — a clear 61% majority. But there are TWO chocolates on the menu, DarkChoco and MilkChoco, and only fourteen voters prefer Vanilla.

Under Choose-One Plurality each voter may name only one flavor, so the chocolate majority splits its vote — 12 for DarkChoco, 10 for MilkChoco — and Vanilla wins with just 14 of 36 (38.9%), a dessert a 61% majority actively dislikes. That is vote splitting / the spoiler effect.

STAR fixes it without asking chocolate to drop a flavor: every voter scores all three 0–5, so a chocolate lover can give BOTH chocolates a high score instead of choosing between them. The two highest totals advance to an automatic runoff, and the winner has majority support head-to-head.

Ballots

The ballots as marked — the filled bubble is the score given, and the score is the number in its column:

# Ballot as marked DarkChoco MilkChoco Vanilla
1 A 0–5 STAR ballot — 12 voters — love dark, like milk, no vanilla: DarkChoco 5, MilkChoco 4, Vanilla 0. 5 4 0
2 A 0–5 STAR ballot — 10 voters — love milk, like dark, no vanilla: DarkChoco 4, MilkChoco 5, Vanilla 0. 4 5 0
3 A 0–5 STAR ballot — 14 voters — love vanilla, mild on chocolate: DarkChoco 2, MilkChoco 1, Vanilla 5. 2 1 5

The same ballots as the file records them:

Row 1 = candidate names; each later row is one voter's 0–5 scores (a N × prefix = N identical ballots).

Count:DarkChoco,MilkChoco,Vanilla
12:5,4,0   # love dark, like milk, no vanilla
10:4,5,0   # love milk, like dark, no vanilla
14:2,1,5   # love vanilla, mild on chocolate

What the engine says

The count, step by step — the rounds and how the winner is reached:

[Divergence from STAR]
  STAR                   = DarkChoco
  Choose-One (Plurality) = Vanilla   (differs from STAR)

--- STAR Voting Method (single winner) ---

[STAR Voting]
 Tabulating 36 ballots.
Count × DarkChoco,MilkChoco,Vanilla
   14 ×         2,        1,      5
   12 ×         5,        4,      0
   10 ×         4,        5,      0

[STAR Voting: Scoring Round]
 The two highest-scoring candidates advance to the next round.
   DarkChoco     -- 128 -- First place
   MilkChoco     -- 112 -- Second place
   Vanilla       --  70
 DarkChoco and MilkChoco advance.

[STAR Voting: Automatic Runoff Round]
 The candidate preferred in the most head-to-head matchups wins.
   DarkChoco     -- 26 -- First place
   MilkChoco     -- 10
   Equal Support --  0
 DarkChoco wins.
   Runoff math:
     36  ballots cast
   −  0  Equal Support (no preference between the two finalists)
     ──
     36  voters with a preference  (majority = 19)
           DarkChoco 26 (72%)  ·  MilkChoco 10 (28%)

[STAR Voting: Winner — STAR Voting Method (single winner)]
 DarkChoco

Full audit — preference matrix, Condorcet, and score distribution

--- Runoff (Preference) Matrix ---
Head-to-head / pairwise comparison
Legend: For - Equal Support - Against
        * indicates Top 2 Finalist
                  |  * DarkChoco  | * MilkChoco  |    Vanilla   |
-----------------------------------------------------------------
    * DarkChoco > |      ---      |26 -  0 - 10  |22 -  0 - 14  |
    * MilkChoco > | 10 -  0 - 26  |     ---      |22 -  0 - 14  |
        Vanilla > | 14 -  0 - 22  |14 -  0 - 22  |     ---      |

[Condorcet Winner]
  Condorcet Winner: DarkChoco — matches the STAR winner

[Condorcet Loser]
  Condorcet Loser: Vanilla — loses every head-to-head matchup — elected by Choose-One (Plurality)!

[Score Distribution] (how many ballots gave each star rating)
                   Score
Candidate   5   4   3   2   1   0  | Total   Avg
DarkChoco  12  10   0  14   0   0  |   128   3.6
MilkChoco  10  12   0   0  14   0  |   112   3.1
Vanilla    14   0   0   0   0  22  |    70   1.9

Everything in one file: the _tabulated mirror (regenerated on every run; every analysis forced on).

Run it yourself:

python STARVote_LH_tabulation_engine/starvote_larry_hastings.py 01_STAR/02_Examples/cases/vote_splitting.yaml

See also

More cases in this set: 02a_c3_b1_three-candidates · 02b_c3_b2_three-candidates · 03a_c3_b3_style-bullet-vote · 03b_c3_b3_1_style-protest-vote · 03b_c3_b3_2_expand_style-protest-vote · 03c_c6_b8_style-gallery · 03d_c5_b5_style-gallery-five-more · 04b_c4_b3_display-options-all · 05a_c5_b3_unanimous-ballots · 06a_c9_b3_large-field-equal-support · 06b_c9_runoff-overturns-leader · 09_c4_b100_tennessee-capital · abstentions · bv2182_tg4779_faq_runoff_reversal · bv2184_fyy886_lunch_vote · bv2187_qrw6wb_ann-bob-cal · bv2256_c8h3tb_traditional_style · bv2263_xw23m9_over_50_percent · csv_ambiguity_ex1_c4_b8 · display_options_demo · equal_support_runoff_demo · quorum_demo_c3_b6 · quorum_fail_demo_c3_b6 · same_mean_different_spread_c2_b5 · star_ala_approval · three_winners_cw_score_runoff · vote_splitting2 · vote_splitting3 · vote_splitting_scenario1_spoiler · vote_splitting_scenario2_bloc_leads · vote_splitting_scenario3_outsider_wins