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Felsenthal Ex.7 — Ranked Robin: the Condorcet winner Amos

Generated from bv2153_pcttmr_ranked_robin.yaml — do not edit by hand. Regenerate: python STARVote_LH_tabulation_engine/tools_adam/scripts/build_yaml_pages.py.

Method: Ranked Robin (RCV-RR / Copeland) · 1 seat · Expected winner: Amos

▶ Live on BetterVoting: vote · results ↗ (election pcttmr · test BV2153).

Scenario

Race 3 of 3 in the Absolute-Majority-paradox election (BV2153, bvid pcttmr; BV-confirmed). Source: Dan S. Felsenthal (2010), Appendix A3, Example 7 — see bv2153_pcttmr_approval.yaml for the setup. The same 100 voters' full rankings counted by Ranked Robin (Copeland): Amos wins both head-to-heads (Bella 51–49, Chad 51–49) — the Condorcet winner, elected. A majority's first choice survives any pairwise count; it is the approval cutoff, not the ballots, that loses him. Live results: https://bettervoting.com/pcttmr/results

Ballots

Each row is one voter's ranking, most-preferred first (N: prefix = N identical ballots).

51:Amos>Bella>Chad
48:Bella>Chad>Amos
1:Chad>Bella>Amos

What the engine says

The count, step by step — the rounds and how the winner is reached:

--- Ranked Robin (RCV-RR / Copeland) Method (single winner) ---
 Tabulating 100 ballots (ranked ballots).

Ballots:
    51 × Amos > Bella > Chad
    48 × Bella > Chad > Amos
     1 × Chad > Bella > Amos

Round-Robin — every pair, head-to-head (For – Against):
   Amos   beats Bella   51 – 49
   Amos   beats Chad    51 – 49
   Bella  beats Chad    99 –  1

--- Pairwise (Round-Robin) Matrix ---
Head-to-head / pairwise comparison — the Ranked Robin tally
Legend: For - Equal Support - Against   (row vs column)
          |     Amos     |   Bella     |    Chad     |
------------------------------------------------------
   Amos > |     ---      |51 -  0 - 49 |51 -  0 - 49 |
  Bella > | 49 -  0 - 51 |    ---      |99 -  0 -  1 |
   Chad > | 49 -  0 - 51 | 1 -  0 - 99 |    ---      |

Win–loss record — Copeland score = wins + ½·ties (highest score wins; ties broken by total margin, then lot order):
    #  Candidate  W–L–T  Copeland  Margin  Beats
    1  Amos       2–0–0         2      +4  Bella, Chad
    2  Bella      1–1–0         1     +96  Chad
    3  Chad       0–2–0         0    -100  —

Winner — Ranked Robin (RCV-RR): Amos
   beats every opponent head-to-head — the Condorcet winner.

Full audit — preference matrix, Condorcet, and score distribution

--- Smith Set (the generalized Condorcet winner) ---
The smallest group whose every member beats every candidate outside it —
the honest answer to "who is even in contention?".
   Smith set (1 of 3): Amos
   Outside (2):        Bella, Chad
   One member ⇒ Amos is the Condorcet winner, beating every rival head-to-head.
   Ranked Robin (RCV-RR) winner Amos is INSIDE the Smith set. ✓
      Guaranteed: Ranked Robin (Copeland) is Smith-efficient — every member of
      the set outscores every outsider, so the top of the win–loss table is
      always inside the set, however the tie among them is then broken.
   More: 07_Concepts/topics/smith_set.md

Everything in one file: the _tabulated mirror (regenerated on every run; every analysis forced on).

Run it yourself:

python STARVote_LH_tabulation_engine/starvote_larry_hastings.py method_comparisons/felsenthal_paradoxes/cases/bv2153_pcttmr_ranked_robin.yaml

See also

More cases in this set: bv2144_mxfmhm_plurality · bv2144_mxfmhm_star · bv2145_6fj2kg_irv · bv2145_6fj2kg_ranked_robin · bv2145_6fj2kg_star · bv2146_krk2px_irv · bv2146_krk2px_ranked_robin · bv2146_krk2px_star · bv2147_9gdrqg_irv · bv2147_9gdrqg_star · bv2148_h87k6v_irv · bv2148_h87k6v_star · bv2149_byk9v2_irv · bv2149_byk9v2_star · bv2150_dxg8pb_irv · bv2150_dxg8pb_ranked_robin · bv2150_dxg8pb_star · bv2151_97hbpw_irv · bv2151_97hbpw_ranked_robin · bv2151_97hbpw_star · bv2152_r6ctvy_approval · bv2152_r6ctvy_ranked_robin · bv2153_pcttmr_approval · bv2153_pcttmr_irv · bv2154_wq6yv7_approval · bv2154_wq6yv7_irv · bv2154_wq6yv7_ranked_robin · bv2160_r6qc8h_plurality · bv2160_r6qc8h_star · bv2161_q3h4fk_plurality · bv2161_q3h4fk_star · bv2162_4htk44_irv · bv2162_4htk44_ranked_robin · bv2162_4htk44_star · bv2163_74j6vv_irv · bv2163_74j6vv_ranked_robin · bv2163_74j6vv_star · bv2164_xbqq8t_plurality · bv2164_xbqq8t_ranked_robin · bv2164_xbqq8t_star · bv2165_9vxcj7_plurality · bv2165_9vxcj7_star · bv2166_b7b8dv_plurality · bv2166_b7b8dv_star · bv2167_f3dxq9_plurality · bv2167_f3dxq9_star · coombs_ex18_monotonicity · coombs_ex20_amalgamated · coombs_ex20_district1 · coombs_ex20_district2 · coombs_ex21_twin_after · coombs_ex21_twin_before · coombs_ex22_scc · felsenthal_ex6_pareto_approval · felsenthal_ex6_ranked_robin · minimax_ex30_noshow_after · minimax_ex30_noshow_before · minimax_ex31_truncation · minimax_ex32_amalgamated · minimax_ex32_district2 · minimax_ex33_scc · succ_elim_ex10_amalgamated · succ_elim_ex10_district1 · succ_elim_ex10_district2 · succ_elim_ex11_twin_after · succ_elim_ex11_twin_before · succ_elim_ex12_sincere · succ_elim_ex12_truncated · succ_elim_ex9_noshow · succ_elim_ex9_pareto