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Nine candidates, 25 voters — ranking only five, counted by Ranked Robin

Generated from bv2280_37yf8x_rr_top5.yaml — do not edit by hand. Regenerate: python STARVote_LH_tabulation_engine/tools_adam/scripts/build_yaml_pages.py.

Method: Ranked Robin (RCV-RR / Copeland) · 1 seat · Expected winner: Gus

▶ Live on BetterVoting: vote · results ↗ (election 37yf8x · test BV2280).

Official tie-break (lot) order: Ada > Ben > Cleo > Dev > Emma > Finn > Gus > Hugo > Iris — consulted only if every deterministic tiebreaker stays tied (how the ladder works).

Scenario

THE CAP CHANGES THE WINNER. Same 25 voters, same Ranked Robin rule as bv2280_37yf8x_rr_full.yaml. The only difference is that each voter may name five candidates instead of nine — and Gus wins instead of Finn.

Finn is the Condorcet winner on the electorate's real preferences. What the cap removes is the evidence: only 16 of the 25 voters can fit Finn into five names at all. For the other 9 Finn is simply absent from the paper, and an absent candidate wins no head-to-head.

This is the reversal worth remembering. A ranked ballot is usually called the more expressive one, and at full resolution it is. Capped at five names out of nine it records 3,620 distinct opinions where the 0–5 score ballot records 10,077,696 — and here it loses an answer that six rungs kept.

Convention, stated: a candidate left unranked is counted as beaten by everyone the voter did rank, and tied with everyone else the voter left off. Other treatments split that unstated pair half-and-half. It is a choice, not arithmetic, and it belongs in any quotation of this result.

Construction: build_cases.py in this folder. 25 voters and 9 candidates at frozen positions on one spectrum — Ada −0.73 · Ben −0.37 · Cleo −0.18 · Dev −0.17 · Emma −0.11 · Finn +0.24 · Gus +0.41 · Hugo +0.80 · Iris +0.84; utility = minus the distance; scores = each voter's own min-max scaling onto 0–5; rankings = those same utilities in order. Nothing is tuned to the result, and no count in this folder is settled by a tie-break — that was a search constraint, so every winner here survives any lot rule.

Ballots

Each row is one voter's ranking, most-preferred first (N: prefix = N identical ballots).

Ben>Cleo>Dev>Ada>Emma    # voter at -0.43
Gus>Hugo>Iris>Finn>Emma    # voter at +0.60
Ada>Ben>Cleo>Dev>Emma    # voter at -0.67
Iris>Hugo>Gus>Finn>Emma    # voter at +0.89
Finn>Gus>Emma>Dev>Cleo    # voter at +0.18
Emma>Dev>Cleo>Ben>Finn    # voter at -0.13
Gus>Hugo>Iris>Finn>Emma    # voter at +0.59
Hugo>Iris>Gus>Finn>Emma    # voter at +0.72
Gus>Finn>Emma>Hugo>Iris    # voter at +0.34
Hugo>Iris>Gus>Finn>Emma    # voter at +0.69
Finn>Gus>Emma>Dev>Cleo    # voter at +0.23
Ben>Cleo>Dev>Emma>Ada    # voter at -0.30
Ben>Ada>Cleo>Dev>Emma    # voter at -0.51
Iris>Hugo>Gus>Finn>Emma    # voter at +0.89
Emma>Dev>Cleo>Finn>Ben    # voter at -0.05
Gus>Hugo>Iris>Finn>Emma    # voter at +0.60
Finn>Gus>Emma>Dev>Cleo    # voter at +0.28
Ben>Cleo>Dev>Emma>Ada    # voter at -0.40
Hugo>Gus>Iris>Finn>Emma    # voter at +0.62
Ada>Ben>Cleo>Dev>Emma    # voter at -0.63
Finn>Gus>Emma>Dev>Cleo    # voter at +0.27
Ada>Ben>Cleo>Dev>Emma    # voter at -0.61
Ada>Ben>Cleo>Dev>Emma    # voter at -1.33
Cleo>Dev>Emma>Ben>Finn    # voter at -0.23
Ada>Ben>Cleo>Dev>Emma    # voter at -1.82

What the engine says

The count, step by step — the rounds and how the winner is reached:

--- Ranked Robin (RCV-RR / Copeland) Method (single winner) ---
 Tabulating 25 ballots (ranked ballots).

Ballots:
     1 × Ben > Cleo > Dev > Ada > Emma
     3 × Gus > Hugo > Iris > Finn > Emma
     5 × Ada > Ben > Cleo > Dev > Emma
     2 × Iris > Hugo > Gus > Finn > Emma
     4 × Finn > Gus > Emma > Dev > Cleo
     1 × Emma > Dev > Cleo > Ben > Finn
     2 × Hugo > Iris > Gus > Finn > Emma
     1 × Gus > Finn > Emma > Hugo > Iris
     2 × Ben > Cleo > Dev > Emma > Ada
     1 × Ben > Ada > Cleo > Dev > Emma
     1 × Emma > Dev > Cleo > Finn > Ben
     1 × Hugo > Gus > Iris > Finn > Emma
     1 × Cleo > Dev > Emma > Ben > Finn

Round-Robin — every pair, head-to-head (For – Against):
   Ben   beats Cleo    9 –  7
   Ben   beats Dev     9 –  7
   Ben   beats Ada     7 –  5
   Emma  beats Ben    16 –  9
   Gus   beats Ben    13 – 12
   Ben   beats Hugo   12 –  9
   Ben   beats Iris   12 –  9
   Finn  beats Ben    14 – 11
   Cleo  beats Dev    10 –  6
   Cleo  beats Ada    10 –  6
   Emma  beats Cleo   15 – 10
   Gus   beats Cleo   13 – 12
   Cleo  beats Hugo   16 –  9
   Cleo  beats Iris   16 –  9
   Finn  beats Cleo   13 – 12
   Dev   beats Ada    10 –  6
   Emma  beats Dev    15 – 10
   Gus   beats Dev    13 – 12
   Dev   beats Hugo   16 –  9
   Dev   beats Iris   16 –  9
   Finn  beats Dev    13 – 12
   Emma  beats Ada    18 –  7
   Gus   beats Ada    13 –  9
   Ada   ties  Hugo    9 –  9
   Ada   ties  Iris    9 –  9
   Finn  beats Ada    16 –  9
   Gus   beats Emma   13 – 12
   Emma  beats Hugo   17 –  8
   Emma  beats Iris   17 –  8
   Finn  beats Emma   13 – 12
   Gus   beats Hugo    8 –  5
   Gus   beats Iris    9 –  4
   Gus   beats Finn    9 –  7
   Hugo  beats Iris    7 –  2
   Hugo  ties  Finn    8 –  8
   Iris  ties  Finn    8 –  8

--- Pairwise (Round-Robin) Matrix ---
Head-to-head / pairwise comparison — the Ranked Robin tally
Legend: For - Equal Support - Against   (row vs column)
         |     Ben      |    Cleo     |    Dev      |    Ada      |    Emma     |    Gus      |    Hugo     |    Iris     |    Finn     |
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
   Ben > |     ---      | 9 -  9 -  7 | 9 -  9 -  7 | 7 - 13 -  5 | 9 -  0 - 16 |12 -  0 - 13 |12 -  4 -  9 |12 -  4 -  9 |11 -  0 - 14 |
  Cleo > |  7 -  9 -  9 |    ---      |10 -  9 -  6 |10 -  9 -  6 |10 -  0 - 15 |12 -  0 - 13 |16 -  0 -  9 |16 -  0 -  9 |12 -  0 - 13 |
   Dev > |  7 -  9 -  9 | 6 -  9 - 10 |    ---      |10 -  9 -  6 |10 -  0 - 15 |12 -  0 - 13 |16 -  0 -  9 |16 -  0 -  9 |12 -  0 - 13 |
   Ada > |  5 - 13 -  7 | 6 -  9 - 10 | 6 -  9 - 10 |    ---      | 7 -  0 - 18 | 9 -  3 - 13 | 9 -  7 -  9 | 9 -  7 -  9 | 9 -  0 - 16 |
  Emma > | 16 -  0 -  9 |15 -  0 - 10 |15 -  0 - 10 |18 -  0 -  7 |    ---      |12 -  0 - 13 |17 -  0 -  8 |17 -  0 -  8 |12 -  0 - 13 |
   Gus > | 13 -  0 - 12 |13 -  0 - 12 |13 -  0 - 12 |13 -  3 -  9 |13 -  0 - 12 |    ---      | 8 - 12 -  5 | 9 - 12 -  4 | 9 -  9 -  7 |
  Hugo > |  9 -  4 - 12 | 9 -  0 - 16 | 9 -  0 - 16 | 9 -  7 -  9 | 8 -  0 - 17 | 5 - 12 -  8 |    ---      | 7 - 16 -  2 | 8 -  9 -  8 |
  Iris > |  9 -  4 - 12 | 9 -  0 - 16 | 9 -  0 - 16 | 9 -  7 -  9 | 8 -  0 - 17 | 4 - 12 -  9 | 2 - 16 -  7 |    ---      | 8 -  9 -  8 |
  Finn > | 14 -  0 - 11 |13 -  0 - 12 |13 -  0 - 12 |16 -  0 -  9 |13 -  0 - 12 | 7 -  9 -  9 | 8 -  9 -  8 | 8 -  9 -  8 |    ---      |

Win–loss record — Copeland score = wins + ½·ties (highest score wins; ties broken by total margin, then lot order):
    #  Candidate  W–L–T  Copeland  Margin  Beats
    1  Gus        8–0–0         8     +18  Emma, Finn, Ben, Cleo, Dev, Hugo, Ada, Iris
    2  Emma       6–2–0         6     +44  Ben, Cleo, Dev, Hugo, Ada, Iris
    3  Finn       5–1–2         6     +11  Emma, Ben, Cleo, Dev, Ada
    4  Ben        5–3–0         5      +1  Cleo, Dev, Hugo, Ada, Iris
    5  Cleo       4–4–0         4     +13  Dev, Hugo, Ada, Iris
    6  Dev        3–5–0         3      +5  Hugo, Ada, Iris
    7  Hugo       1–5–2         2     -24  Iris
    8  Ada        0–6–2         1     -32  —
    9  Iris       0–6–2         1     -36  —

Winner — Ranked Robin (RCV-RR): Gus
   beats every opponent head-to-head — the Condorcet winner.

Full audit — preference matrix, Condorcet, and score distribution

--- Smith Set (the generalized Condorcet winner) ---
The smallest group whose every member beats every candidate outside it —
the honest answer to "who is even in contention?".
   Smith set (1 of 9): Gus
   Outside (8):        Ben, Cleo, Dev, Ada, Emma, Hugo, Iris, Finn
   One member ⇒ Gus is the Condorcet winner, beating every rival head-to-head.
   Ranked Robin (RCV-RR) winner Gus is INSIDE the Smith set. ✓
      Guaranteed: Ranked Robin (Copeland) is Smith-efficient — every member of
      the set outscores every outsider, so the top of the win–loss table is
      always inside the set, however the tie among them is then broken.
   More: 07_Concepts/topics/smith_set.md

Everything in one file: the _tabulated mirror (regenerated on every run; every analysis forced on).

Run it yourself:

python STARVote_LH_tabulation_engine/starvote_larry_hastings.py method_comparisons/ballot_expressiveness/cases/bv2280_37yf8x_rr_top5.yaml

See also

More cases in this set: ballot_expressiveness_c9_irv_top5 · bv2280_37yf8x_irv_full · bv2280_37yf8x_rr_full · bv2280_37yf8x_star