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Symmetric centrist (47/47/3/3) — STAR: elects Casey, the Condorcet winner

Generated from bv2170_pp2q4q_star.yaml — do not edit by hand. Regenerate: python STARVote_LH_tabulation_engine/tools_adam/scripts/build_yaml_pages.py.

Method: STAR (single winner) · 1 seat · Expected winner: Casey

▶ Live on BetterVoting: vote · results ↗ (election pp2q4q · test BV2170).

Official tie-break (lot) order: Blake > Casey > Avery — consulted only if every deterministic tiebreaker stays tied (how the ladder works).

Scenario

One of four races in the Symmetric Centrist election (BV2170, bvid pp2q4q; BV-confirmed). 100 voters, three candidates, ONE electorate tabulated four ways. Avery is the left pole, Blake the right pole, Casey the broadly-liked centrist. 47 rank Avery>Casey>Blake, 47 rank Blake>Casey>Avery, and 6 put Casey first (3 leaning each way). Casey is the Condorcet winner — a majority prefers Casey to Avery (53–47) and to Blake (53–47) — yet holds only 6 first choices. Ranks mapped to 0–5 scores (top=5, mid=3, bottom=1): Casey tops the score round 312 (Avery and Blake tie at 294) and wins the automatic runoff 53–47 → STAR → Casey, matching Ranked Robin, unlike IRV and Choose-One (which throw the centrist out first and then deadlock the two poles).

Live results: https://bettervoting.com/pp2q4q/results Companion races: bv2170_pp2q4q_irv.yaml, bv2170_pp2q4q_ranked_robin.yaml, bv2170_pp2q4q_plurality.yaml. Overview page: bv2170_pp2q4q_symmetric_centrist.md

Ballots

Row 1 = candidate names; each later row is one voter's 0–5 scores (a N × prefix = N identical ballots).

Count:Avery,Blake,Casey
47:5,1,3   # Avery > Casey > Blake  (left pole)
47:1,5,3   # Blake > Casey > Avery  (right pole)
3:3,1,5    # Casey > Avery > Blake  (centrist, leans left)
3:1,3,5    # Casey > Blake > Avery  (centrist, leans right)

What the engine says

The count, step by step — the rounds and how the winner is reached:

[Divergence from STAR]
  STAR                   = Casey
  Choose-One (Plurality) = Blake   (differs from STAR)
  RCV-IRV                = Avery   (differs from STAR)
  Note: no ballots had tied scores, so RCV-IRV vs STAR here is a genuine
        method difference, not a tie-breaking artifact.
  Note: Ranked Robin (RCV-RR) agrees with STAR, so RCV-IRV is the lone
        outlier — the classic center-squeeze signature.
  Full round-by-round reports (generated for review):
  RCV-IRV rounds: cases_tabulated/bv2170_pp2q4q_star_RCV-IRV_tabulated.txt

--- STAR Voting Method (single winner) ---

[STAR Voting]
 Tabulating 100 ballots.
Count × Avery,Blake,Casey
   47 ×     5,    1,    3
   47 ×     1,    5,    3
    3 ×     3,    1,    5
    3 ×     1,    3,    5

[STAR Voting: Scoring Round]
 The two highest-scoring candidates advance to the next round.
   Casey         -- 312 -- First place
   Avery         -- 294 -- Tied for second place
   Blake         -- 294 -- Tied for second place
 Casey advances, but there's a two-way tie for second.

[STAR Voting: Scoring Round: First tiebreaker]
 The candidate preferred in the most head-to-head matchups advances.
   Avery         -- 50 -- Tied for second place
   Blake         -- 50 -- Tied for second place
   Equal Support --  0
 There's still a two-way tie for second.

[STAR Voting: Scoring Round: Second tiebreaker]
 The candidate with the most votes of score 5 advances.
   Avery         -- 47 -- Tied for second place
   Blake         -- 47 -- Tied for second place
 There's still a two-way tie for second.

*(Ties are resolved by choosing the tied candidate with the highest-priority official lot number.)*
    Lot-number priority order: ['Blake', 'Casey', 'Avery']

[Tiebreaker: Lot Number Priority]
  Tie among: ['Avery', 'Blake']
  Resolved: ['Blake'] (selected by lot-number priority).

[Lot-decided tie — rare]
  ⚠ The ballots did not break this tie: the deterministic rungs
    (pairwise / score, then five-star) all came back equal, so the
    pre-published LOT order chose among the tied candidates — the
    result here was set by lot, not by the votes. Usually the
    "dead rung": no tied candidate held a score-5 vote (five-star
    counts fives, not fours). Verify the tied candidates' 5-counts.

[STAR Voting: Automatic Runoff Round]
 The candidate preferred in the most head-to-head matchups wins.
   Casey         -- 53 -- First place
   Blake         -- 47
   Equal Support --  0
 Casey wins.
   Runoff math:
     100  ballots cast
   −   0  Equal Support (no preference between the two finalists)
     ───
     100  voters with a preference  (majority = 51)
           Casey 53 (53%)  ·  Blake 47 (47%)

[STAR Voting: Winner — STAR Voting Method (single winner)]
 Casey

Full audit — preference matrix, Condorcet, and score distribution

--- Runoff (Preference) Matrix ---
Head-to-head / pairwise comparison
Legend: For - Equal Support - Against
        * indicates Top 2 Finalist
        Note: Avery and Blake tied at 294 in the Scoring Round, and the lot
              rung (the ballots could not separate them) advanced Blake. The *
              marks who advanced, not who scored highest.

                 |     Avery    |  * Blake    |  * Casey    |
-------------------------------------------------------------
         Avery > |     ---      |50 -  0 - 50 |47 -  0 - 53 |
       * Blake > | 50 -  0 - 50 |    ---      |47 -  0 - 53 |
       * Casey > | 53 -  0 - 47 |53 -  0 - 47 |    ---      |

[Condorcet Winner]
  Condorcet Winner: Casey — matches the STAR winner

[Condorcet Loser]
  No strict Condorcet loser; jointly weak Condorcet losers: Avery, Blake (winless — pairwise ties) — Blake elected by Choose-One (Plurality)!

[Score Distribution] (how many ballots gave each star rating)
                   Score
Candidate   5   4   3   2   1   0  | Total   Avg
Avery      47   0   3   0  50   0  |   294   2.9
Blake      47   0   3   0  50   0  |   294   2.9
Casey       6   0  94   0   0   0  |   312   3.1

Everything in one file: the _tabulated mirror (regenerated on every run; every analysis forced on).

Run it yourself:

python STARVote_LH_tabulation_engine/starvote_larry_hastings.py method_comparisons/symmetric_centrist_bv2170/cases/bv2170_pp2q4q_star.yaml

See also

More cases in this set: bv2170_pp2q4q_irv · bv2170_pp2q4q_plurality · bv2170_pp2q4q_ranked_robin