====================================================================== SOURCE FILE: bv2138_cxrf8v_irv.yaml TABULATED FILE: bv2138_cxrf8v_irv_tabulated.txt ====================================================================== election_title: "No Condorcet Winner — IRV (Hare): Dave wins by elimination" scenario_description: |- One of four races in the 'One Ranked Electorate, Many Tabulations' election (BV2138, bvid cxrf8v; BV-confirmed). 921 voters, five candidates, NO Condorcet winner (Smith set = Abby, Brad, Dave, Erin). Robert LeGrand's flagship 'the method decides' example: across ~15 methods the win splits five ways. IRV → Dave. bv_test_id: BV2138 bv_election_id: cxrf8v bv_results_url: https://bettervoting.com/cxrf8v/results voting_method: IRV num_winners: 1 ballots: |- 98:Abby>Cora>Erin>Dave>Brad 64:Brad>Abby>Erin>Cora>Dave 12:Brad>Abby>Erin>Dave>Cora 98:Brad>Erin>Abby>Cora>Dave 13:Brad>Erin>Abby>Dave>Cora 125:Brad>Erin>Dave>Abby>Cora 124:Cora>Abby>Erin>Dave>Brad 76:Cora>Erin>Abby>Dave>Brad 21:Dave>Abby>Brad>Erin>Cora 30:Dave>Brad>Abby>Erin>Cora 98:Dave>Brad>Erin>Cora>Abby 139:Dave>Cora>Abby>Brad>Erin 23:Dave>Cora>Brad>Abby>Erin expected_winners: - Dave ====================================================================== TABULATION RESULTS ====================================================================== --- RCV / Instant-Runoff Voting (single winner) --- No Condorcet Winner — IRV (Hare): Dave wins by elimination Tabulating 921 ballots (ranked ballots). ROUND 1 Candidate Votes Status ----------- ------- -------- Brad 312 Hopeful Dave 311 Hopeful Cora 200 Rejected Abby 98 Rejected Erin 0 Rejected FINAL RESULT Candidate Votes Status ----------- ------- -------- Dave 609 Elected Brad 312 Rejected Cora 0 Rejected Abby 0 Rejected Erin 0 Rejected Winner(s) — RCV / Instant-Runoff Voting (single winner) Dave --- Smith Set (the generalized Condorcet winner) --- The smallest group whose every member beats every candidate outside it — the honest answer to "who is even in contention?". Smith set (4 of 5): Abby, Brad, Erin, Dave Outside (1): Cora More than one member ⇒ NO Condorcet winner: the top of the tournament is a cycle, so the strongest "candidate" is a set, not a person. Which member of the set should win is exactly what Minimax / Ranked Pairs / Schulze disagree about — see 05_Ranked_Robin/01_Learn/cycle_resolution.md. Note: the Copeland leaders (Abby, Brad) are only part of the set — the win–loss table's top block understates how wide the contention is. RCV-IRV winner Dave is INSIDE the Smith set. ✓ Not guaranteed — RCV-IRV is not Smith-efficient — but it holds here. More: 07_Concepts/topics/smith_set.md