====================================================================== SOURCE FILE: monotonicity_irv_after.yaml TABULATED FILE: monotonicity_irv_after_tabulated.txt ====================================================================== election_title: "Non-monotonicity (RCV-IRV) — part 2: raising X makes X lose" scenario_description: |- Part 2 of the RCV-IRV monotonicity pair: four Y>Z voters move X up to first (12:X>Y becomes 16:X>Y), a pure GAIN of support for X — and X now loses. The extra support changed the elimination order: Y goes out first, Y's ballots feed Z, and Z beats X 18-16. More support made the winner lose — IRV's non-monotonicity. STAR cannot do this (more points never hurt); see the monotonicity_star_* pair and the monotonicity topic hub. paradoxes: [non-monotonicity] voting_method: RCV_IRV # RCV-IRV — monotonicity demo (AFTER: X now LOSES) num_winners: 1 # Non-monotonicity demo, part 2 of 2 (see _before). The ONLY change from _before: # 4 voters moved X to the top (Y>Z became X>Y), keeping Y above Z. X gained support. # Round 1: X 16, Y 8, Z 10 -> Y eliminated; Y>Z transfers -> Z 18, X 16. Z WINS. # X went from 12 first-choices and a win to 16 first-choices and a loss: monotonicity failure. ballots: |- 16:X>Y 8:Y>Z 10:Z>X expected_winners: - Z # file: monotonicity_irv_after.yaml ====================================================================== TABULATION RESULTS ====================================================================== --- RCV / Instant-Runoff Voting (single winner) --- Non-monotonicity (RCV-IRV) — part 2: raising X makes X lose Tabulating 34 ballots (ranked ballots). ROUND 1 Candidate Votes Status ----------- ------- -------- X 16 Hopeful Z 10 Hopeful Y 8 Rejected FINAL RESULT Candidate Votes Status ----------- ------- -------- Z 18 Elected X 16 Rejected Y 0 Rejected Winner(s) — RCV / Instant-Runoff Voting (single winner) Z --- Smith Set (the generalized Condorcet winner) --- The smallest group whose every member beats every candidate outside it — the honest answer to "who is even in contention?". Smith set (3 of 3): X, Y, Z Outside (0): — More than one member ⇒ NO Condorcet winner: the top of the tournament is a cycle, so the strongest "candidate" is a set, not a person. Which member of the set should win is exactly what Minimax / Ranked Pairs / Schulze disagree about — see 05_Ranked_Robin/01_Learn/cycle_resolution.md. RCV-IRV winner Z is INSIDE the Smith set. ✓ Not guaranteed — RCV-IRV is not Smith-efficient — but it holds here. More: 07_Concepts/topics/smith_set.md