election_title: "FairVote white paper — French 2017 (HONEST): STAR elects the centrist Macron"

scenario_description: |-
  FairVote's July 2018 white paper "Explaining FairVote's position on STAR Voting"
  (Richie & Penrose) argues STAR's strategy incentives could squeeze a strong centrist
  out of the runoff, using the 2017 French presidential race as its example (four
  strong candidates ~20% each; Macron the broadly-preferred centrist). This is the
  HONEST half: voters score sincerely (favorite 5, the compromise Macron 4, the far
  wing 0). STAR elects Macron — the Condorcet winner (he beats Le Pen, Fillon and
  Melenchon head-to-head) — scoring round Macron 351, runoff 51-49. RCV-IRV also
  elects Macron here. The companion french_2017_strategic shows FairVote's coordinated
  burial (everyone scores Macron 0 and inflates the other wings) knocking Macron out —
  which STAR concedes is possible, but which requires implausible coordinated dishonesty
  and is not STAR's sincere behavior. Simplified 100-voter model of the ~20%-each field.
  Concept: ../README.md.
video_script: |-
  FairVote says STAR could squeeze the centrist. Here's the honest count: everyone
  scores their favorite 5 and the moderate Macron a 4, and Macron wins — he's everyone's
  strong second and beats each rival one-on-one. That's STAR getting it right sincerely.
  The next file is what it takes to break that: a coordinated burial.
paradoxes: [condorcet-winner]
voting_method: STAR
num_winners: 1

bv_test_id: BV2229
bv_election_id: 7j2bqf
bv_results_url: https://bettervoting.com/7j2bqf/results
ballots: |-
  Count:Macron,LePen,Fillon,Melenchon
  26:5,0,3,3   # Macron base
  25:4,0,1,5   # Melenchon (left) — Macron is their compromise 2nd
  24:4,2,5,0   # Fillon (center-right) — Macron 2nd
  25:1,5,3,0   # Le Pen (far right)
expected_winners:
  - Macron

# file: bv2229_7j2bqf_french_2017_honest.yaml