====================================================================== SOURCE FILE: chicken_star.yaml TABULATED FILE: chicken_star_tabulated.txt ====================================================================== election_title: "Chicken / Burr dilemma — STAR resolves it (allies A & B beat C; A wins honestly)" scenario_description: |- The chicken (a.k.a. Burr) dilemma from Jameson Quinn's strategic-pathology set. Two similar candidates A and B must team up to beat a third, C, whom the majority opposes: 35: A>B>C (A9 B8 C0) 25: B>A>C (A8 B9 C0) 40: C (C9, A0 B0) Under APPROVAL voting this is a trap: if the 60 A/B voters honestly approve both A and B, the result is an exact 60-60 A/B TIE (the "Burr dilemma", after the 1800 Jefferson- Burr tie) — and each side is tempted to bullet-vote only its favorite, a slippery slope that can hand the win to C if too many defect. See the companion chicken_approval.yaml. STAR removes the slope. Scored honestly on 0-5, A and B voters give BOTH allies high marks (no bullet needed — the runoff, not the sum, decides between them). C is beaten in the scoring round (A 275, B 265, C 200), and A — the honest pairwise winner — takes the runoff 35-25. Honesty is safe. The [Divergence from STAR] block confirms Ranked Robin also elects A. Concept: ../../07_Concepts/topics/strategic_pathologies.md. video_script: |- A and B are allies; together they crush C, but they have to cooperate. Under approval it's a game of chicken: approve both and you might tie; bullet-vote and you might win — or, if both sides bullet, hand it to C. STAR ends the standoff. Score both allies high; the runoff sorts A from B by real preference, so there's no reason to bullet. C loses, A wins, nobody had to blink. paradoxes: [condorcet-winner] voting_method: STAR num_winners: 1 ballots: |- Count:A,B,C 35:5,4,0 # A > B > C 25:4,5,0 # B > A > C 40:0,0,5 # C expected_winners: - A # file: chicken_star.yaml ====================================================================== TABULATION RESULTS ====================================================================== === Chicken / Burr dilemma — STAR resolves it (allies A & B beat C; A wins honestly) === The chicken (a.k.a. Burr) dilemma from Jameson Quinn's strategic-pathology set. Two similar candidates A and B must team up to beat a third, C, whom the majority opposes: 35: A>B>C (A9 B8 C0) 25: B>A>C (A8 B9 C0) 40: C (C9, A0 B0) Under APPROVAL voting this is a trap: if the 60 A/B voters honestly approve both A and B, the result is an exact 60-60 A/B TIE (the "Burr dilemma", after the 1800 Jefferson- Burr tie) — and each side is tempted to bullet-vote only its favorite, a slippery slope that can hand the win to C if too many defect. See the companion chicken_approval.yaml. STAR removes the slope. Scored honestly on 0-5, A and B voters give BOTH allies high marks (no bullet needed — the runoff, not the sum, decides between them). C is beaten in the scoring round (A 275, B 265, C 200), and A — the honest pairwise winner — takes the runoff 35-25. Honesty is safe. The [Divergence from STAR] block confirms Ranked Robin also elects A. Concept: ../../07_Concepts/topics/strategic_pathologies.md. --- Runoff (Preference) Matrix --- Head-to-head / pairwise comparison Legend: For - Equal Support - Against * indicates Top 2 Finalist | * A | * B | C | ------------------------------------------------------------- * A > | --- |35 - 40 - 25 |60 - 0 - 40 | * B > | 25 - 40 - 35 | --- |60 - 0 - 40 | C > | 40 - 0 - 60 |40 - 0 - 60 | --- | [Condorcet Winner] Condorcet Winner: A — matches the STAR winner [Condorcet Loser] Condorcet Loser: C — loses every head-to-head matchup — elected by Choose-One (Plurality)! [Divergence from STAR] STAR = A Choose-One (Plurality) = C (differs from STAR) --- STAR Voting Method (single winner) --- [STAR Voting] Tabulating 100 ballots. Count × A,B,C 40 × 0,0,5 35 × 5,4,0 25 × 4,5,0 [Score Distribution] (how many ballots gave each star rating) Score Candidate 5 4 3 2 1 0 | Total Avg A 35 25 0 0 0 40 | 275 2.8 B 25 35 0 0 0 40 | 265 2.7 C 40 0 0 0 0 60 | 200 2.0 [STAR Voting: Scoring Round] The two highest-scoring candidates advance to the next round. A -- 275 -- First place B -- 265 -- Second place C -- 200 A and B advance. [STAR Voting: Automatic Runoff Round] The candidate preferred in the most head-to-head matchups wins. A -- 35 -- First place B -- 25 Equal Support -- 40 A wins. Runoff math: 100 ballots cast − 40 Equal Support (no preference between the two finalists) ─── 60 voters with a preference (majority = 31) A 35 (58%) · B 25 (42%) [STAR Voting: Winner — STAR Voting Method (single winner)] A