election_title: "Burlington 2009, the raise — 750 Wright voters rank Kiss first, and Kiss loses" paradoxes: [non-monotonicity, no-show] scenario_description: |- Non-monotonicity on the real profile. Take the real ballots and let 750 Wright-first voters RAISE the actual winner Kiss to the top of their ballots (all 281 who already ranked Kiss second — their top two swap — plus 469 of the 840 Wright-only bullet voters, who become Kiss>Wright; chosen so the Montroll-vs-Kiss margin itself moves against Montroll by only 469, less than his 587-vote head-to-head cushion). Kiss gains 750 first-choice votes and LOSES: Wright now falls in the semifinal (2543 vs Montroll's 2553), Montroll survives to the final and wins it 4063-3945. Raising a candidate made him lose — the additional-support paradox, built from real ballots. The mirror no-show reading: roughly the same bloc staying home also elects Montroll. Lesson page: README.md in this folder. Real ballots: PrefLib dataset 00005 (00005-00000002.toi, 8,980 ballots, 384 unique orders; from Burlington's published election records). 6 ballots (0.07%) carrying equal-rank overvotes are not representable in this ranked syntax and are excluded — 8,974 tabulated; every official figure reproduces within +/-1 and every margin is hundreds of votes. voting_method: RCV_IRV num_winners: 1 ballots: |- 469:Kiss>Wright 371:Wright 355:Kiss>Montroll 326:Kiss 271:Wright>Smith 256:Wright>Montroll 234:Kiss>Montroll>Smith 200:Montroll>Kiss 178:Montroll 147:Wright>Montroll>Smith 145:Montroll>Kiss>Smith 139:Montroll>Smith 125:Kiss>Smith 124:Smith 123:Kiss>Montroll>Smith>Wright>Simpson 122:Wright>Smith>Montroll 121:Kiss>Smith>Montroll 120:Kiss>Montroll>Smith>Simpson>Wright 104:Wright>Montroll>Smith>Simpson>Kiss 103:Kiss>Montroll>Simpson>Smith>Wright 102:Wright>Montroll>Smith>Kiss>Simpson 101:Wright>Smith>Montroll>Kiss>Simpson 94:Montroll>Wright 93:Montroll>Smith>Kiss 93:Smith>Wright 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1:Montroll>Wright>WriteIn 1:Wright>Simpson>Montroll 1:Wright>Simpson>Kiss 1:WriteIn>Kiss>Montroll 1:Smith>Simpson>WriteIn 1:Simpson>Smith>Montroll 1:Simpson>Smith>Kiss 1:Simpson>Smith>Wright 1:Kiss>Simpson>WriteIn 1:Simpson>Montroll>Smith 1:Montroll>WriteIn>Simpson 1:Wright>WriteIn>Montroll 1:Wright>WriteIn>Simpson 1:Wright>WriteIn>Kiss 1:Kiss>WriteIn>Montroll 1:Kiss>WriteIn>Wright 1:Simpson>WriteIn 1:Smith>WriteIn 1:WriteIn>Smith expected_winners: - Montroll # file: burlington_2009_raise_kiss_nonmono.yaml