bv_test_id: BV2213
bv_election_id: k3fmwv
bv_results_url: https://bettervoting.com/k3fmwv/results
election_title: "Alaska 2022 US House special (reduced model) — STAR & Ranked Robin elect Begich, the Condorcet winner RCV-IRV cut"
paradoxes: [condorcet-winner]
scenario_description: |-
  A reduced 200-voter TEACHING MODEL of the August 2022 Alaska US House special
  election (Peltola / Begich / Palin) — not the real vote data, but a faithful
  ~943:1 scaling of the official preference profile in Table 1 of Graham-Squire &
  McCune, "An Examination of Ranked Choice Voting in the United States, 2004-2022"
  (arXiv:2301.12075); all nine ballot types match the paper. One electorate, FOUR
  counts. First choices: Peltola 80, Palin 63, Begich 57 — so Choose-One
  (Plurality) elects Peltola. RCV-IRV eliminates Begich (fewest first choices), 12
  ballots exhaust, and Peltola beats Palin 96-92 — also Peltola. But Begich is the
  Condorcet winner (beats Peltola 93-84 and Palin 107-68), so Ranked Robin and STAR
  both elect Begich — the broadly-preferred centrist IRV's first-choice elimination
  threw out (the center squeeze). Same ballots, four counts, two winners; IRV is the
  lone method that fails the Condorcet winner. Scores are a rank->score modeling
  overlay (favorite 5, then 4/3, unranked 0). Real ballots & every headline figure:
  the paper above; Equal Vote's Real RCV visualizer: realrcv.equal.vote/alaska22.
  Live results (BV2213, all four races): https://bettervoting.com/k3fmwv/results
  Lesson: README.md
voting_method: STAR
num_winners: 1
ballots: |-
  Peltola, Begich, Palin
    5,0,0
    5,0,0
    5,0,0
    5,0,0
    5,0,0
    5,0,0
    5,0,0
    5,0,0
    5,0,0
    5,0,0
    5,0,0
    5,0,0
    5,0,0
    5,0,0
    5,0,0
    5,0,0
    5,0,0
    5,0,0
    5,0,0
    5,0,0
    5,0,0
    5,0,0
    5,0,0
    5,0,0
    5,0,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,4,0
    5,0,4
    5,0,4
    5,0,4
    5,0,4
    5,0,4
    0,5,0
    0,5,0
    0,5,0
    0,5,0
    0,5,0
    0,5,0
    0,5,0
    0,5,0
    0,5,0
    0,5,0
    0,5,0
    0,5,0
    4,5,0
    4,5,0
    4,5,0
    4,5,0
    4,5,0
    4,5,0
    4,5,0
    4,5,0
    4,5,0
    4,5,0
    4,5,0
    4,5,0
    4,5,0
    4,5,0
    4,5,0
    4,5,0
    0,5,4
    0,5,4
    0,5,4
    0,5,4
    0,5,4
    0,5,4
    0,5,4
    0,5,4
    0,5,4
    0,5,4
    0,5,4
    0,5,4
    0,5,4
    0,5,4
    0,5,4
    0,5,4
    0,5,4
    0,5,4
    0,5,4
    0,5,4
    0,5,4
    0,5,4
    0,5,4
    0,5,4
    0,5,4
    0,5,4
    0,5,4
    0,5,4
    0,5,4
    0,0,5
    0,0,5
    0,0,5
    0,0,5
    0,0,5
    0,0,5
    0,0,5
    0,0,5
    0,0,5
    0,0,5
    0,0,5
    0,0,5
    0,0,5
    0,0,5
    0,0,5
    0,0,5
    0,0,5
    0,0,5
    0,0,5
    0,0,5
    0,0,5
    0,0,5
    0,0,5
    4,3,5
    4,3,5
    4,3,5
    4,3,5
    0,4,5
    0,4,5
    0,4,5
    0,4,5
    0,4,5
    0,4,5
    0,4,5
    0,4,5
    0,4,5
    0,4,5
    0,4,5
    0,4,5
    0,4,5
    0,4,5
    0,4,5
    0,4,5
    0,4,5
    0,4,5
    0,4,5
    0,4,5
    0,4,5
    0,4,5
    0,4,5
    0,4,5
    0,4,5
    0,4,5
    0,4,5
    0,4,5
    0,4,5
    0,4,5
    0,4,5
    0,4,5
    0,4,5
    0,4,5
    0,4,5
    0,4,5
expected_winners:
  - Begich

# file: bv2213_k3fmwv_alaska_2022.yaml